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Fantasy Football Rankings, Week 16, 2020: Model that beat experts says start Tua Tagovailoa, sit Tyler Lockett - CBS Sports

Lost in the quarterback drama and stout defense of the Chicago Bears is the exceptional play of running back David Montgomery. The second-year pro from Iowa State is seventh in the NFL with 906 rushing yards on 202 carries and has scored six touchdowns heading into Chicago's Week 16 matchup against the 1-13 Jacksonville Jaguars. Montgomery has piled up three 100-yard rushing games in his last four outings, but where should he be in your Week 16 Fantasy football rankings?

Which players should you target with your Week 16 Fantasy football picks? And what Fantasy football strategy can lead you to a championship? Before you lock in your Fantasy football lineups, be sure to check out the Week 16 Fantasy football rankings from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

When it comes to ranking players, their model beat human experts in Fantasy football last season when there were big differences in ranking. Over the course of a season, that could literally be the difference between winning your league or going home empty-handed.

Last week, the model was extremely high on Falcons wide receiver Calvin Ridley, saying he'd finish as a top-five player at his position. The result: Ridley recorded 10 receptions for 163 yards and a touchdown. Anybody who had him in their lineup was well on their way to a huge week.

Now, the model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has revealed its Fantasy football rankings for Week 16 of the 2020 NFL season. Head to SportsLine now to see them.

Top Fantasy football picks for Week 16

One player the model is extremely high on this week: Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. The rookie from Alabama has excelled in his second shot at the starting role in South Florida, throwing for 757 yards and scoring six total touchdowns in the last three games.

This week, the No. 5 overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft leads the Dolphins against the Las Vegas Raiders, the seventh-worst defense against the pass. SportsLine model says Tagovailoa will have another strong week, listing him among the top 10 in its Week 16 Fantasy football quarterback rankings.

And a massive shocker: Seahawks wide receiver Tyler Lockett, who's hauled in 85 receptions for 920 yards and eight touchdowns this season, stumbles big-time and doesn't even crack the top 30 at his position. Lockett scored seven touchdowns over the first six games, but he's seen his productivity drop dramatically since then.

In fact, Lockett has produced just one score over his last eight contests and hasn't eclipsed 70 receiving yards during that stretch. Last week against Washington, Lockett caught four of seven targets for just 34 yards. The sixth-year wideout hasn't received more than seven targets in three of his last four games and averaged less than 8.5 yards per reception in three of his last five outings. 

In addition, Lockett and the Seahawks square off against one of the NFL's toughest defenses this week. The Rams feature the NFL's top-ranked total defense, giving up just 286.1 yards per game. Los Angeles is also giving up just 192.0 passing yards per game, which also ranks first in the league. With one of the toughest Fantasy football matchups, Lockett is a player to consider putting on the bench in Week 16.

How to set your Week 16 Fantasy football rankings

The model is also calling for a surprising quarterback you aren't even thinking about to finish in the top 10 of its Fantasy football rankings. This pick could be the difference between winning big and going home with nothing. You can see who it is here.

So who should you start and sit this week? And which surprising quarterback could lead you to victory? Visit SportsLine now to get Week 16 Fantasy football rankings for every position, plus see which QB is going to come out of nowhere to crack the top 10, all from the model that out-performed experts big-time last season.

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Fantasy Football Rankings, Week 16, 2020: Model that beat experts says start Tua Tagovailoa, sit Tyler Lockett - CBS Sports
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